Eastern Kentucky
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
55  Erick Rotich SO 31:35
120  Amos Kosgey SR 31:55
125  Jaime Perales SR 31:57
147  Ambrose Maritim SR 32:01
340  Luis Luna SR 32:37
465  Fredrick Kanda FR 32:52
530  Jamaine Coleman SO 32:58
552  Thomas Koringo JR 33:00
577  Jakob Abrahamsen JR 33:04
660  Samuel Abascal FR 33:13
679  Zach Stewart SO 33:15
683  Harry Earl SR 33:16
728  Ben Turner SR 33:21
907  Sergio Marcuello SR 33:36
National Rank #21 of 312
Southeast Region Rank #2 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 87.6%
Most Likely Finish 18th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.3%
Top 10 at Nationals 4.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 45.4%


Regional Champion 29.6%
Top 5 in Regional 99.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Erick Rotich Amos Kosgey Jaime Perales Ambrose Maritim Luis Luna Fredrick Kanda Jamaine Coleman Thomas Koringo Jakob Abrahamsen Samuel Abascal Zach Stewart
Kentucky Bluegrass Invitational 09/10 532 31:43 31:49 32:05 31:57 32:10 32:34 32:14 33:47 33:33
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 528 31:31 31:31 31:58 32:22 32:28 32:50 32:18 36:25 33:39
Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/01 1085 33:05 32:41
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 826 32:03 32:26 32:14 32:41 33:18 34:39
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 982 32:23 32:43 32:54 33:29
Ohio Valley Championship 10/29 737 31:51 31:37 33:50 33:02 32:43 33:11 32:35 33:22
Southeast Region Championships 11/11 557 31:07 31:54 32:30 31:33 32:49 34:08 33:01





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 87.6% 19.9 497 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.1 2.4 2.8 2.9 3.2 5.2 5.0 4.0 5.7 4.8 5.6 5.3 5.6 5.7 5.6 4.5 4.8 4.2 2.7 2.1 1.4 0.6
Region Championship 100% 2.2 93 29.6 33.1 27.2 7.4 2.2 0.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erick Rotich 94.5% 61.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9
Amos Kosgey 87.8% 101.8 0.1 0.1 0.2
Jaime Perales 87.8% 104.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Ambrose Maritim 87.6% 116.3
Luis Luna 87.6% 200.0
Fredrick Kanda 87.7% 221.1
Jamaine Coleman 87.7% 228.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erick Rotich 6.7 0.4 2.7 5.8 8.7 15.1 11.0 9.6 7.2 6.3 5.2 3.6 3.8 3.4 2.8 2.1 1.7 1.9 2.0 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4
Amos Kosgey 13.0 0.4 1.1 1.3 3.6 5.3 6.3 6.1 7.3 7.1 5.6 6.1 5.8 5.2 3.9 4.7 3.3 3.5 2.9 3.3 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.5
Jaime Perales 13.4 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.8 3.9 5.8 6.0 7.0 7.2 7.3 5.8 5.5 5.7 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.5 3.3 2.9 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.1
Ambrose Maritim 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.4 4.1 4.8 5.1 5.9 5.7 6.3 6.8 6.2 5.7 5.5 4.6 3.5 3.8 3.0 2.8 2.4 2.2 1.6
Luis Luna 35.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.0 3.1 3.5 3.0 3.2
Fredrick Kanda 49.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.7
Jamaine Coleman 55.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 29.6% 100.0% 29.6 29.6 1
2 33.1% 100.0% 33.1 33.1 2
3 27.2% 76.8% 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.5 2.5 2.0 2.8 2.6 2.7 4.7 6.3 20.9 3
4 7.4% 55.4% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.3 4.1 4
5 2.2% 2.2 5
6 0.6% 0.6 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 87.6% 29.6 33.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.9 2.8 2.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 5.3 12.4 62.7 25.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Washington St. 79.9% 1.0 0.8
Providence 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Southern Utah 71.5% 1.0 0.7
Texas 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Princeton 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Texas A&M 43.0% 2.0 0.9
Eastern Michigan 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Illinois 32.4% 3.0 1.0
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Bradley 9.8% 1.0 0.1
Kentucky 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Air Force 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 0.2% 1.0 0.0
California 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.7
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 12.0